Sports Betting Model
The Home of Profitable Sports Betting Models based on Real Results.
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Do You Want to Make Your Own Bet Predictions Instead of Following other Sports Handicappers?
If the answer is Yes – this is were I can help you
ELITE SPORTS BETTING
Elite Sports Betting starts with the right mindset and understanding sports betting market. Too many people confuse Sports Betting with watching Sports and this is one of the first reasons why 97% of all sports bettors will not have a positive lifetime balance in sports betting World. Elite Sports betting is all about finding the positive expected value (+EV) on sports betting market.
SPORTS BETTING ANALYTICS
Sports betting odds are nothing else than probabilities turned into the numbers. These numbers are the prices that bookmakers offer and that you will pay. If we don’t know what price we are paying, there is no chance that we can win. Sports betting models are betting systems based on analytics and help us to find Value bets.
BETTING SPREADSHEET DOWNLOAD
Building a complex sports betting model can be a very tough task for an average sports bettor. I am passionate about math, statistics and even more how to build a simple sports betting model, based on probabilistic method, that will have a profitable results. Sports betting models that I have created helped sports bettors all over the World.
What is a Betting Model and Why it is Crucial for Successful Betting?
Sports Betting Model is a betting system, that helps you to find a positive expected value (value bet) in games that other bettors may not.
This system will help you to estimate the probability for all outcomes in a certain game and then making unbiased betting selections, which are the key for success. In the core, the goal of such model is to highlight profitable “gambling” opportunities by being more accurate than sportsbooks and the actions of the betting market.
It is crucial because of two reasons:
- It allows you to exclude your feelings and emotions and help you to focus on numbers and the facts, which finally leads to smarter and rational bet decisions. Betting based on your feelings (greed or fear) is one of the main reasons why so many people are placing bad wagers.
- The holy grail of successful betting is finding a value bet. This is the question we try to answer every day when we see hundreds of games. It is the ability to identify the advantage against a bookmakers odds and of course the behaviour of the market. The concept of a value is pretty simple that everyone already understand and it is basically the difference between the price that is offered and the price that should be “fair”. If such bet is priced for less than it’s worth, then we call it a value. Investing in value bets is the crucial part of the life every professional sports gambler. The problem however starts with the numbers and probabilities and this is where most bettors are stuck. We can all agree that the odds are expressed with the numbers (odds are numbers, not colours for example) and to find out if some odds are priced less than they are worth you must come with your number. This discrepancy between estimated probabilities and implied bookmakers probabilities represent the value. And the betting model is the tool that answers on this question. Finding a value bet based on feelings or non-probabilistic methods is just guessing. And we don’t want to guess. This is why such betting algorithms are so crucial for success.
Let me Quickly Introduce Myself…
MB, Sports Bettor and Entrepreneur
Founder of Underdogchance.com
Hi, I’m MB, Sports Bettor and Entrepreneur, founder of Underdogchance.com and other betting sites, where the main focus is on making a positive impact on sports bettors lives all over the World.
I started betting in 1998 and since then I am part of Sports Betting World. I bet for myself, I create my own betting models in spreadsheets and I constantly try to improve.
I was lucky, because my father was a professor of math and he showed me the love for the numbers. This helped me later to understand sports betting from different perspective.
At the same time I was not only betting for myself, but I was involved in sports betting communities, forums and since then I am asking myself, why so many people lose and why they can not even understand the basics of sports betting. Because once you understand that sports betting is has almost nothing to do with sports alone, but more with the numbers and how you find positive expected value then your betting experience changes forever.
I was studying Water Science And Environmental Engineering, where I upgraded my knowledge about statistics and created my fist models in spreadsheets. Later I used this knowledge and started created my own sports betting models, that are based on probabilistic methods.
I decided to help sports bettors to change their old bad betting habits and start looking at betting through numbers.
Sports Model Analytics Helped hundreds of bettors to start Winning in Betting
I’ve helped hundreds of bettors take control of their betting activities, set the right strategy, select the right sport, start using betting models, earn money on the side, start investing, and give themselves an entirely new experience in their betting life.
Hearing from happy, successful students/members/friends is one of the best parts of my day.
One of the most common questions I get is:
Can you win at betting?
Yes you can win at sports betting, but before we go little bit deeper with this topic, please forget everything you know about betting – just for a moment. There is not much helpful information available on this topic anyway.
Albert Einstein once said… insanity is doing the same things over and over again and expecting different results.
If you try hard and you still lose in sports betting, you are probably doing something wrong. Maybe it is now the time to change your betting method and learn something new.
My #1 MLB BASEBALL BETTING MODEL
+113.20 units
$1000 bettor made +$113,200 since 2016
Important Lesson:
Making Money in Sports Betting Has Almost Nothing to Do with the Sport
I hear this all the time:
“I know this sport”
“I love baseball”
“I bet for 30 Years”
But…
Betting for 30 Years and Being a Profitable Sports Bettor for 30 years is not the same.
Sports is one thing. Sports Betting is another thing. Profitable Sports Betting is completely different thing from both.
This is the first lesson we all must completely understand.
I constantly get emails from followers, who want to bet specific sport, because they watch the sport, because they love the sport and they think because of that they will make a profit. But no matter how much time they spend watching or reading about this sport, they still don’t make a profit.
If profitable sports betting would be correlated to the love for sport, then all professional coaches, fans and players would be the best sports handicappers. Imaging Tom Brady or Leo Messi as the best sports handicappers.
Of course this is not how this works and we must completely understand the difference between these 3 things: SPORTS, SPORTS BETTING and PROFITABLE SPORTS BETTING.
I know it sounds crazy, but believe me most bettors mix those three tings in the same context, while in reality are three different things. And understanding this is so important, that we can not move forward if this is not clear.
How do sport betting companies make money?
To explain the difference between Sport, Sports Betting and Profitable Sports Betting, we must understand how betting companies make money.
Most sports bettors think, that betting sites, make money because someone bet on his favourite team and this team lose the game. This is not exactly how this works and this is definitely not their business model.
Bookmakers make money because they never offer FAIR ODDS.
Every time you make a bet, they “take” some commission, because they have created the edge from the start. This is why we see the odds -110 vs -110 instead of +100 vs +100, which would be fair. In decimal odds we see 1.91 vs 1.91. And that difference is the margin (vig, vigorish, juice,…) as we like to call.
And once they have betting advantage, the only thing they need is the liquidity and patience. The patience is easy.
So, the question was how to create a good liquidity and where to find a lot of people where majority of them will not use any sports betting analytics, but will still be betting a lot of money every day.
SPORT is just the perfect pool of information and people for bookmakers
Sport is a perfect pool of people and information for bookmakers. Not only that this a huge pool of people who are emotionally involved, but it is also a great way to create an illusion that someone “knows” the sport. Games are every day. Watching is fun. People can win short term and get the feeling what winning in sports betting looks like.
But what most bettors don’t understand that sport is just one good way how to gather people, because it is simply very popular.
What most bettors and gamblers don’t understand is that if once in the future some new things will be much more popular and will give a great way for bookmakers to gather a lot of people who are willing to watch and bet these events, they will simply switch to these events.
Some examples are esports betting, politics betting, maybe once in the future reality show betting,… anything where you can attract a lot of people, who are willing to watch games and bet.
Watching Games to Make Bet Predictions is a WIN for bookmakers
When we have the sport and a lot of people, who are willing to bet on these events, then we also know that they will watch these games.
But there are two problems, most bettors don’t see
The first problem is how our brains work and the dopamine that is released when we bet and watch games.
Studies shows that the release of dopamine during sports gambling occurs in brain areas similar to those activated by taking drugs. Excitement is much much bigger when there is a combination of watching games and betting.
The second problem most bettors don’t see is Human Error Data Collection in Sports Betting.
Many sports bettors will say, they watch games, because they know better what to bet. But what is watching games basically?
It is collecting the data. And the problem is that most bettors think they can collect the data and correctly analyse it by watching games.
It is a mistake and sports is just a sport. It is used as a pool of information and people, who are willing to bet.
The question should not be, what sport you love, but what sport you can analyse, find positive expected value and finally how to make money in sports betting.
BETTING ON SPORT…
is simply activity of predicting sports results and placing a wager on the outcome. That’s it.
If you start researching Sports Betting Guide, you will find tons of advice how to place a bet, what are the odds, where to bet,… but most of these information are completely useless when it comes to profitable sports betting.
How does sports betting work?
What are the basic terms of sports betting?
What does ATS mean on betting?
What is Over/Under betting?
Answers on these questions will not make you a winning sports bettor. Answers will make you a sports bettor, noting more. In other words, you will know how to place a bet.
Making a sports bet is easy. The only thing you need is $5, the internet or if you are lucky, you can have a local bookmaker in your Town.
Millions of people bet every day and they are sports bettors. But they are not necessary sports bettors that make money and definitely not profitable sports bettors who will have a positive lifetime betting balance. Only 3% of all bettors are Elite Sports Bettors.
So what is the difference between sports betting and profitable sports betting?
This should be the right question and keep reading, because I will explain
PROFITABLE SPORTS BETTING
Profitable sports betting is investing with the intention to make a profit. The odds are the prices that you will be paying and if you will pay bad price you can not win. Period!
It is not about love for the sport, it is not about how many times you watch games, it is not about how long have you played some sport, but exclusively about placing yourself in a position, where you can make rational bet decisions.
Professional Sports Bettors will never involve emotions with the sport they love. In fact in most cases it is much much better to separate business from fun. When it comes to betting for money, the main focus is profit.
My quick story and how I didn’t bet sport that I loved…
When I started betting in 1998, I quickly realised, that sports betting has nothing to do with the sport, but only how skilled you are in predictions against betting market. So the next step was how to create a method, that will exploit value bets. And this is how my betting journey started.
Many sports bettors are betting and losing for many years, but they still confuse these things.
I loved soccer (football) and I still love to watch and play. But I decided that I will research whole market and will try to find a sport, where I am not emotionally involved and where I can use sports betting analytics.
For me baseball betting was ideal. I never played baseball, I didn’t even understand the rules of baseball. But it was a perfect match for me.
For some bettors it can be soccer betting, for some basketball betting, for some American football betting, tennis betting,… Important is that we don’t confuse these three things.
Profitable sports bettors always focus on the numbers and the price they pay, while (losing) bettors focus on winners or they simply can not answer on the question, what is +EV (positive expected value).
Winning bettors know exactly when to bet, what to bet and when to stay away from betting on games. They also know how much to bet and what to do with betting profits. They completely separate sports betting from watching sports and love for the sports. If you have the edge against betting market with the sport that you love, that’s great, but understanding that this is not the same is crucial.
Profitable sports betting is all about finding the value bet.
Value Bet – The concept of making money in sports betting
The basic concept of making money, not only in sports betting, but in general is to find the value.
The value can be described as a difference between two numbers. The first number will be always offered by sports betting market (the odds). The second number you must find out. And the difference is what we call a value bet.
Imagine that you want to make a profit by selling a Beer in your restaurant. What do you need to do?
You need to buy a beer for the price A and sell it for the price B. And B minus A must be positive in your favour.
And I believe that we all agree that if you will buy a beer for lower price and later sell it for bigger, you can expect a profit. This is the simple concept of making money and this should be the starting point here too.
In sports betting one price is the price that you see on bookmakers sites.
In the picture above we can see the odds from Pinnacle and the odds of 2.200 on Tampa Bay Rays. If you bet $100, you can expect a profit of +$120 (if Tampa wins of course). And we can all agree that this is the price you will pay for this “bet product”.
This price can change during the day and the biggest question is what is the right price to bet? Is this price good?
And to answer on this question, we must quickly touch the sports betting odds topic.
How Betting Odds Work?
Betting odds are basically probabilities of the outcomes turned into the numbers. This must be clear.
Every single game (or betting event) has 2 or more possible outcomes. If there is only one outcome, bookmakers wouldn’t offer such bet. This is why there is NO Locks, Guaranteed Winners or Guaranteed Bets in sports betting. All these words are used just for marketing purposes.
These numbers or probabilities are simply estimations of the chances of one team versus other team (or one outcome versus another outcome).
If one team has 50% of chance to win a game, we can easily calculate fair odds:
1/0.5 = 2.00 (in US odds +100)
So, the fair price if one team has 50% of chance winning a game is 2.00 and that means, that if you bet $100, you should make a profit of +$100.
After bookmakers include their margins (juice, vig), this price is little bit lower. So instead of 2.00 (+100), they offer for the same “product” the odds of 1.91 (-110) for example.
This price can later raise or fall, depend on different factors, which includes action of sports bettors and involved money.
And our goal is to estimate our price independently from bookmakers, because only by comparing projected odds (estimated price) with the bookmakers odds will give you the answer on value bet. And this is exactly Number A minus number B, which is the basic concept of making money.
This can not be estimated properly in any humans brains or by intuition – at least not on 1000 bets. This can not be estimated in our head and this can not be estimated by watching games or just reading news.
This is why we use sports betting models.
Sports Betting Models are the Heart of My Profitable Sports Betting.
Winning Theory of Betting and Importance of Sports Betting Models
Winning betting theory is pretty simple, despite I see that most bettors simply ignore these rules. Ignoring or not understanding the theory will not help you on your sports betting journey. Here are 5 simple rules of profitable sports betting and how they are correlated to my sports betting models.
#1 ESTIMATE YOUR BETTING ODDS
I hope that we all agree now, that the odds are probabilities turned into the numbers and they represent the prices on betting market. So, the first step before you make a bet is to estimate your own probabilities, independently from bookmakers, because you must have an idea what is the price you are willing to pay.
I we don’t know what price we are willing to pay, then we are just guessing. I use my SPORTS BETTING MODELS created in spreadsheets where I simply estimate probabilities, spreads or totals.
Example of my estimated probabilities from my CSGO betting model:
#2 COMPARE YOUR ODDS WITH BOOKMAKERS ODDS
Once you have your estimated probabilities, you can simply turn them into your own odds, which is basically the price that can be compared with bookmakers odds. It is basically your price vs bookmakers price.
Example of my comparison of my estimated odds and bookmakers odds from my CSGO betting model:
#3 FIND THE DISCREPANCY BETWEEN ODDS
After you compare your odds with the bookmakers odds, you must look for the discrepancy between the numbers. If your predictive analytics in sports betting is good, then you can exploit possible bets. This is what we call a value bet. This is your Number A – Number B.
Example of my estimated value bets from my CSGO betting model:
#4 BET SMALL % of YOUR BANKROLL
Sports betting is always a log game. I don’t know any bettor, who had a winning day or month, took betting profits and go away. I didn’t met such a person yet. Majority of sports gamblers will bet until they lose everything. Winning in short period of time is even more dangerous, because it can give you a false illusion, that you have the advantage against sports betting market, where in fact you were just lucky.
This is why profitable sports betting is always a long game. And this is how you should set your plan and the game.
Always bet only small percentage of your bankroll, because this is a game of percentages and no matter how good you are you will face losing streaks. Winning streaks are easy to handle – everyone can do it. But the difference is made in losing streaks. Only the best can survive them. And playing small % is the first step of playing smart.
My betting models estimate recommended stakes.
#5 TRACK YOUR BETS (Profit, Yield, Closing Line Value,…)
Always track your bets, because this is the only way to see if your betting makes sense. All professional sports bettors track their bets from different angles and from different perspective.
I use my betting spreadsheet, where I track all important info about the game, profit, w-l record, yield, ROI, closing line value, p-value, opening odds versus closing odds,… But what is most important I can see how my betting model perform.
But what do you do once you understand these simple betting principles?
Is understanding enough?
I see a lot of sports bettors who come to me and ask me questions about how to start betting with the numbers, which is great because I see that more and more people see how important this is.
It is definitely the next step into the profitable World of sports handicapping.
With the internet and all the information, there is no excuse anymore to not understand how profitable betting works.
But the question is…
What do you do once you decide to make something more from betting?
What do you do once you understand basic principles of profitable betting?
Is understanding these principles enough?
I started to hear from more and more people who’d already done the basics and were left wondering:
“What’s next?”
What are sports bettors at the next level — and the level after that — doing?
These were the same questions I’d had to ask myself when I started betting. How were other bettors in my situation jumping to the next level?
I knew there was more than just understanding gambling probabilities, betting margins, sports betting market,…
And I found it.
Sports Betting Models
I soon realised that in order to make money long term, I need to be better than the competition. And this competition are not just bookmakers, but also other sports bettors.
Sports betting is always a relative competition against this huge betting market. So, I knew I had to be better than the rest.
I also knew that most bettors don’t use numbers, most bettors have no discipline and most bettors have just insufficient knowledge about betting basics.
Betting guides that we find on the internet are in most cases useless, because they are targeting SEO ranking in sports betting World, instead of targeting real and quality questions and answers.
So, the next step was to create betting models, that will work and then the dirty job. Test, improve and put a lot of effort.
This is the best way to compare my number with bookmakers numbers.
This can not be done in your head or by intuition. At least not on the lung run.
Brains and Emotions – Imperfect Betting Software
Sports Handicappers who make their bets without projecting the odds before they place a wager are just guessing wit their imperfect betting software – their brains and emotions.
Reading news, watching games, looking at betting trends,… this is just one way how to collect the data.
But if you can not collect correctly the data and analyse it with probabilistic method, then you are just guessing.
Brains are just imperfect betting software and because our emotions change daily, this your “brain” betting software is making a lot of mistakes.
It is crucial to have a betting software, that will process the data without any emotions and estimate probabilities the best as possible.
And this is computer.
In 2017 I was tracking separately MLB bets based on my betting model and based on gut feeling plays:
Baseball betting model of course outperformed my gut feeling plays.
And this is the missing point for many sports bettors.
They are constantly looking for picks on the internet and that sports handicapper that will make them rich, but this is not going to happen.
Following Sports Handicappers Picks DOES NOT WORK!
No matter if you follow free picks or you pay for sports betting picks, following in sports betting doesn’t work and you have a big chance that you will search for the right sports handicapper your whole life, spending thousands of dollars for betting services and you will still lose.
If you understand the importance of relative competition in sports betting, the concept of value and line movement, following does not make any sense in sports betting.
You have the best chance to make your own bets, learn how to create a betting model and build this knowledge and income source for a lifetime.
I am sure many if you already spent a lot of money for such picks services or are simply disappointed with other peoples picks.
Sports betting is not a passive income, where you can follow other handicappers.
This is why you SHOULD focus on your betting knowledge instead of focusing on other sports handicappers and their betting picks:
If you want to master the level you’re at now, you have to reconsider each of your beliefs now.
You made it this far because you worked hard, you stayed disciplined, you didn’t listen to get-rich-quick schemes or social media sports handicappers. You’ve already won.
Yes, you’ve won, because more than 90% of bettors in the World will just bring money in sports betting World and will end with negative lifetime balance.
So, you are probably asking me, what is the next step.
The next step is learning how to create a betting system, keep growing, and enjoy the freedom you’ve earned. Without following other bettors tips.
Imagine that you are the one who makes projections every day.
Imagine that you are the one who makes profitable bet predictions, instead of following and paying hundreds and thousands of dollars each month for betting advice, that is basically not backed with any betting model.
Believe me… you don’t need to follow someone, who just watch games or read news. You can do it by yourself, if you want. All these results will soon regress to the mean and people lose because of margins.
You can create sports betting system that will work for you. You don’t need to bet 10 sports. It can be just one league, one bet type, that will work for you.
I’ll show you how. (And I’ll show you the things you’re not thinking about but should be.)
It’s time to protect all your hard work, passion for sports betting, time, money to grow it and enjoy it.
It’s time to move past the basics and take your sports handicapping to the next level.
Introducing…
Get my Personal Betting Models and find out what winning bettors know about profitable sports betting and freedom that 99% of bettors don’t.
A Journey into The Mind of A Successful Sports Bettor is a unique online sports betting course that gives you an insider’s look at how I have created sports betting models, how I think, how I bet and what I make money in sports betting.
This is advanced — we focus on the questions, challenges, and betting methods unique to individuals who have already mastered the sports betting basics and want to know “What is the next step to become a winning bettor?”
This is fast — I’ve condensed everything into 7 MODULES. Take it at your own pace and come back whenever you want.
This is practical — I’ve included sheets, tools, videos, and quick-start guides to make it easy to apply what you’ll learn.
Easy to understand — I’ve seen many very complex books about statistics and betting and realistically an average bettor will never go that deep. Most bettors will also not learn complex programming languages like Python or R statistics. This is why this course is so valuable for many many bettors, because the sheets are easy to understand, not very complex and the core of my models are explained on a simple way.
Based on realistic results — All my models and bet results are tested and in real life based on every day real betting situations. It is not just theory.
Download my private betting models — Not only I will show you how to make sports betting models in spreadsheets, you will also get my private betting models to download, so you can either use them, adjust them or just use them as a sporting point.
This online betting course will show you how I bet, how I use profitable betting models — and how to keep winning.
This online betting course is the ONLY sports betting course, where:
- Results are based on real results, not just theory
- Sports handicapper shows his true formulas and betting models, that he uses for himself.
- We go trough all basics from winning mindset, betting fundamentals, building a betting model and generating income streams in sports betting.
- You’ll learn how to estimate your own odds
- You’ll know exactly what you can expect from sports handicapping and investing
- You’ll know how to set right strategy
- You will completely avoid mistakes that other losing sports gamblers make
- You will have a chance to connect with other members in our secret chat group, where you can share projections, ideas, models and your experiences.
And I must point out one very important thing here…
It is a lifetime access.
Almost all bettors struggle with monthly subscriptions, following picks and on the long run betting without the edge will eat their bankrolls.
Sports betting must be set as a lifetime mission, with the goal of positive lifetime balance.
Going 12-3 on Sunday and finishing with negative lifetime betting balance is not what we want.
Sports betting must become jour profitable JOURNEY!
And this journey will be paid off if you will make right decisions now.
Sports bettors will pay thousands and thousands of dollars for sports betting tips every year. Most of these handicappers who will sell picks don’t make money by actual betting anyway and it is in most cases simply marketing skill, not a betting skill.
We have an idea what skilled bettor is. He is using predictive analytics, probabilistic methods, have proven bet record, talk about closing line value,… and most handicappers simply don’t do these things. But still bettors pay thousands of thousands of dollars every single month.
The worst part is that they lose even more money by betting.
This is why this betting course and lifetime access is so valuable. You will learn how I bet, you will learn how I use statistics in sports betting, you will learn how to create a betting model, you will learn how to make money in sports betting world, you will get access to my private betting models and you will connect with same thinking sports bettors that make amazing results.
Here is the picture from one of our students, who made
+68.31 UNITS in MLB betting season 2020
That’s +$6,831 of profit for $100 bettors.
It’s amazing result and he didn’t follow anyone, he simply learned how to bet baseball with MLB betting model.
And that’s just small sample of the insights into this lifetime betting course.
If you’re ready to change your betting experience forever, you’ll learn what to bet, when to bet, why it’s important, and how to actually make money.
That’s not all, though. I’ve always available if you have any help after you watch and practice the course
.
You must understand, that I am committed – TO HELP YOU!
Join today and unlock my private betting spreadsheets, tools, and templates
Betting Spreadsheets
The heart of my bet journey is baseball handicapping and my MLB betting model. This is how I started betting on the next level and this is where my biggest focus is. In 2020 I decided to build an eSports betting model for CSGO, which I see as the next big THING. But I also created and show the way how to built some other betting models for different sports. All results were real time tested with the real odds and real life betting situations.
My #1 Baseball Betting System
My baseball betting system includes complete understanding the numbers I use for prediction the games, strategy and of course sport betting algorithm that outputs winning percentages and projected betting odds.
PROVEN ON THOUSANDS OF ANALYSED GAMES
MLB baseball season has 2430 regular games and I have the ability to analyse every single game.
ADVANCED STATISTICS
I use advanced statistics and different game situations
LINEUPS BASED MODEL
Every team is lineup based with every player and his stats. Trades and injures can be adjusted easily.
SIMPLE AND EASY TO USE
The core of the model is there and the only thing I check is the lineups and injuries every day. Then I simply select the right pitcher, team and add my bookmakers odds. Betting model then outputs value bets and recommended stake.
+$113200
Dime bettors made with this betting model since 2016
CSGO betting model – The Future of sports investing
I always try to improve and look for new things in sports betting World. eSports is one of the next big things, where more and more sports bettors will be involved. Even if we only check current trends in business and investing, we can see that eSports is growing.
More and more people watch and play video games and because of that this is another great pool of information and people for bookmakers.
During COVID-19 in 2020, when there was basically no traditional sports to bet, eSports became very popular. Many sports gamblers started betting esports, because they needed some action.
I decided to start researching this field from the scratch and after I researched different leagues/types of eSports games, I decided to build a betting model for CSGO – Counter Strike Global Offensive.
This is one of the first and few such betting models out there and I see a huge opportunity in CSGO betting in next few years.
The market is still young, there is still not a lot of smart money in eSports and definitely there is still not many eSports betting models out there.
This gives me advantage and big opportunity.
Above is the example of CSGO betting spreadsheet, where I get my own betting odds and probabilities that are compared with bookmakers odds.
The model shows me where is the value bet.
If you join today you will get this template too.
And yes 🙂 You will also get all next updates and improvements of this model in the future.
+21.86 Units
Other Sports Betting Models I have created
The first idea of my betting course was to show my way of betting and especially how I bet baseball, because this was my core.
But after seeing that the problem is much much deeper in sports betting world, when it comes to understand the odds, probabilities and even the basics, I decided that I will open the doors to my mind as well.
Not only I decided to show you how I built betting models I also show you how I think, how I bet and later I decided to show you the way how you can create your own betting models on a simple way for other sports.
Some of these betting models I used for myself or just tested real time against bookmakers odds.
The combination of everything above is huge value for every single bettor, because he can learn the basics of sports betting models in google sheets and find his own way.
I helped hundreds of students and bettors, who have created different sports betting models based on my ideas.
Here are other betting models that I have created and helped our members to make smarter bets.
International basketball betting model
The goal of this model was to create some very basic and simple model for international basketball leagues, where we can compare our projected spreads against bookmakers spreads and then exploit the bets, where the difference between spread is big enough to make a bet.
NBA betting model
In 2019 I have created NBA model based on lineups, where I put all the players in the lineups and created matchups. The model projects simple spreads that are compared to bookmakers spreads.
NHL betting model
NHL betting is based on lineups and NHL statistics numbers like Corsi and Fenwick. The goal of the model is pretty same like in MLB. It estimates the probabilities of the outcomes and then we calculate projected odds. These odds are compared with the bookmakers odds.
NFL betting model
NFL is one of the sharpest sports to bet and it is one of the biggest mistakes many rookie bettors make, because they think they know the sport. But NFL is not the same as NFL betting. In NFL betting you are going against the smartest minds in sports betting World and most advanced betting algorithms that only bookmakers poses. So I focused on creating a simple betting model for NFL, where the goal is the same as in simple basketball model above. To project the spreads, totals and then compare with bookmakers spreads.
Soccer betting model
Soccer is one of the most popular sports to bet Worldwide. Fans love soccer and this is where they place a lot of bets. I love soccer too. I have created a betting model for Bundesliga 2, where I show you how to estimate 1X2 odds.
CBB betting model
CBB is basically latest betting model, that I have created and it was basically made because one student, my friend asked me to do this and help him with the ideas. I created this simple model and analysed more than 1000 games.
I was looking for different discrepancies between spreads. 5 PTS, 6 PTS, 7 PTS, 8 PTS, 9 PTS and 10 PTS.
All results above 7 PTS difference were profitable and the best record was if we are looking for 9 PTS difference: 124-95.
More unique sports betting model
One of the biggest value that our students get is that they are confident to explore and create new sports betting models.
Once you start looking at sports betting completely differently than 97% of all who lose or just look for picks, this is where you have a true chance to win.
In our secret chat group I see some amazing betting systems and models for different leagues and sports, like Rugby betting model, Japan baseball betting model, different soccer leagues models, Aussie rules betting models,…
A Journey into the World of Profitable Sports Betting
Learn What It Really Takes To Be Successful a Sports Handicapper
the cool stuff You can learn from me
This course is ADVANCED and only for those who are serious about sports betting. It’s NOT for everyone.
Now you might be wondering, is this sports betting course right for me?
This course is for you if:
- You’re lose all the time and you want to change this now
- You’ve been following other sports handicappers, but you are still lose
- You have no idea how to start building a betting model
- You don’t mind putting in the work as long as you know that the time you invest is a positive step towards your goal of becoming a successful sports bettor.
- If you’re already learning how to bet and just want to make sure you’re doing right and spending your studying time as efficiently as possible.
- You can’t wait to start making your own betting systems and unique profitable bet predictions.
- You see sports betting as an opportunity and you are willing to put some extra effort to get the best possible results.
- You feel like you’ve gotten as far as you can on your own and are ready for an extra push to take you the rest of the way to success in betting
- You are a sports handicapper, but you want to make a next step forward
- You’re patient, deliberate, and methodical. You’re committed to spending the time to learn how to start winning in sports betting, and you know this will not happen overnight. You know that if you put some extra work, you can enjoy the rewards for years to come. Students who watched and practiced the course have great results!
The course ISN’T for you if:
- You’re looking for a get-rich-quick schemes.
- You’re looking to get picks. This is not betting service and we don’t create followers who are looking for picks.
- You don’t want to put some effort to watch and implement what you learned in my course
- You’re in a debt and you struggle with paying the price of the course.
Why Should You JOIN TODAY?
- Because you will learn how I make profit in sports betting
- Because I will show you how I have created sports betting models
- Because you will get all my private betting models to download
- Because I will explain fundamental things, that you need to understand before you create a model and place your first bet
- Because I will show you how you can project your own lines for more than 5000 games in one year
- Because I will show you the way how to to become one of 3% that win and keep you away from 97%, who lose all the time
- Because I am adding new videos, that will give you a lot of value in the future too!
- Because you become a member of the secret betting community, where you can connect with other students and same-thinking bettors, who use predictive analytics before they place a bet.
How is this bettnig course different from other services?
- You’ll learn the same principles that I’ve personally used to quit my job and start living my dream.
- You’ll learn and create your betting system.
- Other sports handicappers will try to make you a follower and will try to sell picks. I teach you how to make a “picks”.
- I show you how I make bet predictions and you get access to ALL my private sports betting models to download and use.
- All my models are based on real results. Not just betting theory – I do personally the dirty job for last couple of years and show positive results on a real example.
- One time payment for a lifetime.
You made it this far, here is what it means
If you made it this far down this page, it’s a sign you’re determined to become winning bettor.
Anyone can learn and use the methods in the course. We have students from 18 to 65 years old.
The question is: what are you going to do about it?
You could keep doing what you were doing and get the same result, or you could give a try and join people who now bet on their own without paying monthly subscriptions year after year.
And remember, once you buy a course, you have LIFETIME ACCESS and ALL NEXT UPDATES are FREE OF CHARGE!
Are you ready to change your betting experience forever?
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IS THIS THE RIGHT PRICE FOR YOU?
Ask yourself three questions:
- How much would you pay to get all betting algorithms from a bettor who is making a profit?
- How much money you lost in last years betting + paying for picks?
- And how much would you pay for something that can change your betting experience forever?
Bettors are constantly paying from $100 up to $25,000 per month for sports betting tips.
It’s not even a fair comparison with the course, all betting templates and lifetime access, that are based on real resuls!
Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish and you feed him for a life.
I am teaching you how to catch a fish!
Questions asked before joining betting course
I’m not a beginner, will this course help me?
It is for everyone! This course was created with beginners in mind. But it’s also a great choice if you’ve been successfully betting for a while and feel like you’re not making much progress or if you just stuck somewhere and would like to refresh your knowledge, get some new ideas and see how I do it. Experienced bettors and professionals will improve their betting knowledge. And we all know, that improving all the time is the key for success.
In fact, the A Journey course has helped lots of advanced bettors and improve their betting experience.
What if I need help?
I’m here for you. When you buy the course, you get direct access to me via emails. If you have questions about the course, just write me an email and I’ll be happy to help.
I’m busy right now, can I use the course later?
Once you buy A journey course, you have access to videos forever. You can start using it now, in one week or in 5 years. Of course the sooner you start, the sooner you’ll be able to bet on your own and create your own simple betting models. Don’t wait, time is passing! You can watch it unlimited times. And don’t forget, that every next update is free of charge.
Do I need any extra math knowledge to follow and understand predictive models?
No. All my models are easy to understand and created with one of the most friendly tools out there – google sheets. There are other some more complex programming languages like python for example, where bettors can create their own betting models, but for majority of bettors such things are too hard. This is why I wanted to offer something, that anyone can use right away and will boost chances in sports betting. After all, I use this for myself and I you will see that you can do a lot of great work with sheets.
What tools will I need to complete the course?
You will only need a computer, internet and an email account. Thats’s it.
Can I pay with PayPal and what are other payment options?
- Unfortunately paypal option is NOT available.
- You can pay with VISA/MASTERCARD (pay button)
- You can pay with Bitcoins (send me email at mb@underdogchance.com and I will give you full support how to do it).
I want only one sport, can I buy it separately?
Yes, it is possible to get courses separately too in some cases – please contact me at mb@underdogchance.com.
